Looks like President Trump is caught in a trap of his own making in Iran.
I warned about this on the 9 April episode.
The problem with kinetic action (aka dropping bombs) is you must be prepared to bring total destruction to your enemy.
Americans simply do not have the stomach nor the tolerance for economic disruption to wage total war.
I do. You might. The vast majority do not.
Especially in a hyper partisan environment.
Iran
I don’t know why Trump decided to whack Iran.
I’ve said multiple times over multiple administrations that I give significant leeway to POTUS on foreign policy and will continue to do so with Trump’s decision in Iran.
However, it’s pretty obvious he isn’t willing to destroy Iran’s infrastructure to destroy the regime.
And for that reason alone he should have gone with a significantly more limited engagement and got the hell out.
You either fight war for total victory with every tool and weapon available until the enemy begs for mercy or you don’t fight at all.
Midterm Outlook
GOP
Gas prices = bad.
Hard to fix at this point without signifiant changes in the ME.
Gerrymandering = good.
Rs finally playing politics for real.
Messaging = no clue.
I’m not really sure what it is.
Democrats
Gas prices = neutral.
Helpful in that it might hurt R turnout but people do not believe Democrats care about cheap gas or lower prices in general.
Gerrymandering = bad to very bad.
Probably shouldn’t have gone so hard in Virginia. Republicans are weak but total a total gerrymandering wipeout in moderate Virginia gave them freedom to turn their states red.
Structural changes to district maps may save the GOP House majority.
Messaging = Trump is White Devil literally worse than Hitler
Very effective for Progressive turnout and Independent no-shows.
That’s it that’s all I’ve got.
Live Free,
Kalian
